Maximum approximate entropy and r threshold: A new approach for regularity changes detection

Approximate entropy (ApEn) has been widely used as an estimator of regularity in many scientific fields. It has proved to be a useful tool because of its ability to distinguish different system's dynamics when there is only available short-length noisy data. Incorrect parameter selection (embedding dimension $m$, threshold $r$ and data length $N$) and the presence of noise in the signal can undermine the ApEn discrimination capacity. In this work we show that $r_{max}$ ($ApEn(m,r_{max},N)=ApEn_{max}$) can also be used as a feature to discern between dynamics. Moreover, the combined use of $ApEn_{max}$ and $r_{max}$ allows a better discrimination capacity to be accomplished, even in the presence of noise. We conducted our studies using real physiological time series and simulated signals corresponding to both low- and high-dimensional systems. When $ApEn_{max}$ is incapable of discerning between different dynamics because of the noise presence, our results suggest that $r_{max}$ provides additional information that can be useful for classification purposes. Based on cross-validation tests, we conclude that, for short length noisy signals, the joint use of $ApEn_{max}$ and $r_{max}$ can significantly decrease the misclassification rate of a linear classifier in comparison with their isolated use

The Work of Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch: Evidence from Colombia

We process the main written output of Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch on Colombia covering the period 1988-2004, recording all numerical conflict information and accounts of specific conflict events. We check for internal consistency and against a unique Colombian conflict database. We find that both organizations have substantive problems in their handling of quantitative information. Problems include failre to specify sources, unclear definitions, an erratic reporting template and a distorted portrayal of conflict dynamics. Accounts of individual events are fairly representative and much more useful and accurate than the statistical information. We disprove a common accusation that Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch rarely criticize the guerrillas, but do find some evidence of anti-government bias. The quantitative human rights and conflict information produced by these organizations for other countries must be viewed with scepticism along with cross-country and time series human rights data based on Amnesty International reports.

Characterizing the dynamical importance of network nodes and links

The largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of the networks is a key quantity determining several important dynamical processes on complex networks. Based on this fact, we present a quantitative, objective characterization of the dynamical importance of network nodes and links in terms of their effect on the largest eigenvalue. We show how our characterization of the dynamical importance of nodes can be affected by degree-degree correlations and network community structure. We discuss how our characterization can be used to optimize techniques for controlling certain network dynamical processes and apply our results to real networks.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figure

Spatial patterns of desynchronization bursts in networks

We adapt a previous model and analysis method (the {\it master stability function}), extensively used for studying the stability of the synchronous state of networks of identical chaotic oscillators, to the case of oscillators that are similar but not exactly identical. We find that bubbling induced desynchronization bursts occur for some parameter values. These bursts have spatial patterns, which can be predicted from the network connectivity matrix and the unstable periodic orbits embedded in the attractor. We test the analysis of bursts by comparison with numerical experiments. In the case that no bursting occurs, we discuss the deviations from the exactly synchronous state caused by the mismatch between oscillators

Caracterízación del sedimento de una laguna tropical rasa

Se presentan las características mecánicas y los contenidos de materia orgánica,humedad, fósforo y calcio del sedimento de la laguna del Parque Norte, un sistemaeutrófico tropical raso. El sedimento se ajusta al tipo orgánico (contenido medio demateria orgánica: 16.5%), se caracteriza desde el punto de vista mecánico comofranco arenoso, con alto contenido de agua (media = 84.4%). Como consecuencia delas altas temperaturas del agua, los valores de materia orgánica y fósforo halladosfueron mucho menores al ser comparados con los encontrados en ecosistemaslacustres de la zona templada. A pesar de su condición de ecosistema raso(profundidad media: 1.60 m) y su naturaleza cinética, el ‘metabolismo de corto circuito’afecta la velocidad de la descomposición y con esto los contenidos de materiaorgánica y nutrientes en el sedimento. La dinámica del sedimento es lenta y, por ello,su resuspensión es baja, a pesar del carácter polimíctico del cuerpo de agua

The Dynamics of the Colombian Civil Conflict:A New Data Set

Abstract We present a detailed, high-frequency data set on the civil conflict in Colombia during the period 1988–2002. We briefly introduce the Colombian case and the methodological issues that hinder data collection in civil wars, before presenting the pat-tern over time of conflict actions and intensity for all sides involved in the confrontation. We also describe the pattern of victimisation by group and the victimisation of civilians out of clashes. JEL Classification D74, C81, O5

Coastal subsidence increases vulnerability to sea level rise over twenty first century in Cartagena, Caribbean Colombia

Cartagena is subsiding at a higher rate compared to that of global climate-driven sea level rise. We investigate the relative sea level rise (RSLR) and the influence of vertical land movements in Cartagena through the integration of different datasets, including tide gauge records, GPS geodetic subsidence data, and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) observations of vertical motions. Results reveal a long-term rate (\u3e 60 years) of RSLR of 5.98 ± 0.01 mm/yr. The last two decades exhibited an even greater rate of RSLR of 7.02 ± 0.06 mm/yr. GPS subsidence rates range between − 5.71 ± 2.18 and − 2.85 ± 0.84 mm/yr. InSAR data for the 2014–2020 period show cumulative subsidence rates of up to 72.3 mm. We find that geologically induced vertical motions represent 41% of the observed changes in RSLR and that subsidence poses a major threat to Cartagena’s preservation. The geodetic subsidence rates found would imply a further additional RSLR of 83 mm by 2050 and 225 mm by 2100. The Colombian government should plan for the future and serve as an example to similar cities across the Caribbean